The moment we've all been waiting for is here: after hours of discussing and prognasticating, the 83rd annual Academy Awards will be broadcast live tonight starting at 8pm EST. Hosted by James 'Franco' Franco and Anne Hathaway, the winners tonight will earn a naked golden man and a significant pay raise. And they need it, man. Have you seen Keira Knightley? She is wasting away.
Picture
Black Swan (Fox Searchlight)
The Fighter (Paramount)
Inception (Warner Bros.)
The Kids Are All Right (Focus Features)
The King's Speech (The Weinstein Company)
127 Hours (Fox Searchlight)
The Social Network (Sony Pictures Releasing)
Toy Story 3 (Walt Disney)
True Grit (Paramount Pictures)
Winter's Bone (Roadside Attractions)
What will win: The King's Speech. That Facebook film was the early leader, but with a dominating run at recent award ceremonies, Tom Hooper's story about King George VI's stammer will be crowned (tee hee) come the end of the night.
What should win: Love to see the lowly Winter's Bone win it all (not going to happen), or Inception, which would rectify (slightly) Christopher Nolan's snubbing in the directorial category.
What's missing: Never Let Me Go (although not as great as its literary predecessor) was my favourite film of 2010.
See the rest of the nominees and projected winners after the break.
Performance by an Actor in a Leading Role
Javier Bardem in Biutiful
Jeff Bridges in True Grit
Jesse Eisenberg in The Social Network
Colin Firth in The King's Speech
James Franco in 127 Hours
Who will win: Colin Firth. He's respected by all in the community, and he's due with an acclaimed career.
Who should win: Although he won it all last year, Jeff Bridges' portrayal as Rooster Cogburn was far more superior than the one in Crazy Heart.
Who's missing: Ryan Gosling (Blue Valentine) and Jim Carrey (I Love You Phillip Morris).
Performance by an Actor in a Supporting Role
Christian Bale in The Fighter
John Hawkes in Winter's Bone
Jeremy Renner in The Town
Mark Ruffalo in The Kids Are All Right
Geoffrey Rush in The King's Speech
Who will win: Christian Bale. One of the easiest calls of the night.
Who should win: John Hawkes' Uncle Teardrop was the best supporting (and one of the best period) of the year.
Who's missing: Ewan McGregor (I Love You Phillip Morris), Andrew Garfield (Never Let Me Go), Richard Jenkins (Let Me In).
Performance by an Actress in a Leading Role
Annette Bening in The Kids Are All Right
Nicole Kidman in Rabbit Hole
Jennifer Lawrence in Winter's Bone
Natalie Portman in Black Swan
Michelle Williams in Blue Valentine
Who will win: Annette Bening is making a strong push and has been shut out twice already, but Natalie Portman will add another trophy to her ever-growing collection. (On that note, where does one put all these awards? Portman has won the Screen Actors Guild, the Independent Spirit, the British Academy of Film and Television, the Broadcast Film Critics Association, the Golden Globe. You get the idea. I'd like to see her trophy room. I'd actually just like to see her. Anyway.)
Who should win: Portman. Simply beautiful. And, I'm speaking of her performance (mostly).
Who's missing: Tilda Swinton (I Am Love), Carey Mulligan (Never Let Me Go).
Performance by an Actress in a Supporting Role
Amy Adams in The Fighter
Helena Bonham Carter in The King's Speech
Melissa Leo in The Fighter
Hailee Steinfeld in True Grit
Jacki Weaver in Animal Kingdom
Who will win: Even though Melissa Leo has had her share of success during this season, her asinine personal decision to self-promote has turned voters off enough to open the door for young Hailee Steinfeld to steal the show. Steinfeld whose only previous work was the well-known (kidding) Heather: A Fairy Tale and She's a Fox, absolutely owned True Grit. Without her, regardless of how well Jeff Bridges was, Grit isn't nearly as successful.
Who should win: I'd be happy with Steinfeld, although I thought Bonham Carter was particulary strong in finally playing a straight role, over her normally psychotic presence on screen.
Who's missing: Olivia Williams (The Ghost Writer)
Animated Feature
The Illusionist (Sony Pictures Classics)
How To Train Your Dragon (Paramount)
Toy Story 3 (Walt Disney)
What will win: You have one guess.
What should win: Still don't have it? Pssst...it's Toy Story 3.
What's missing: No problems here.
Foreign Language Film of the Year
Biutiful from Mexico (Roadside Attractions)
Dogtooth from Greece (Kino International)
In A Better World from Denmark (Sony Pictures Classics)
Incendies from Canada (Sony Pictures Classics)
Outside the Law (Hors-la-loi) from Algeria (Cohen Media Group
What will win: In A Better World, running the momentum from its Golden Globe win
What should win: Incendies from Canada. Obviously.
What's missing: I Am Love was shockingly (in my mind, anyway) not selected.
Documentary Feature
Exit Through the Gift Shop (Producers Distribution Agency)
Gasland (A Gasland Production)
Inside Job (Sony Pictures Classics)
Restrepo (National Geographic Entertainment)
Wasteland (Arthouse Films)
What will win: As much as I'd love to see Banksy (or someone pretending to be him) accept the award while still preserving his anonymity, the Academy probably doesn't want to have masked men on the stage giving speeches with voice modulators. Inside Job gets the nod.
What should win: Exit Through the Gift Shop was an exciting trip with a fresh vision.
What's missing: Waiting for Superman, a doc stripping down the educational system in the United States.
Achievement in Directing
Darren Aronofsky for Black Swan
Joel Coen and Ethan Coen for True Grit
David Fincher for The Social Network
Tom Hooper for The King's Speech
David O. Russell for The Fighter
Who will win: David Fincher. The Social Network won't win the big prize, but Fincher should still have enough momentum to ride the wave home to Oscar gold.
Who should win: Still pissed about Christopher Nolan (again!) not being nominated, while David O. Russell is sitting pretty. Out of the five nominees, Aronofsky or the Coen brothers deserve it more.
Who's missing: See above.
Original Screenplay
Another Year - Mike Leigh
The Fighter - Scott Silver, Paul Tamasy and Eric Johnson; story by Keith Dorrington, Paul Tamasy and Eric Johnson
Inception - Christopher Nolan
The Kids Are All Right - Lisa Cholodenko and Stuart Blumberg
The King's Speech - David Seidler
Who will win: David Seidler's script about British royalty alonside the backdrop of WWI is too strong for anyone to stand against.
Who should win: Christopher Nolan. Not only is he owed for his slap in the face omission in the directorial category, but his impossibly difficult story was the most impressive hands down.
Who's missing: The teams from Black Swan, Dogtooth, and Blue Valentine.
Adapted Screenplay
127 Hours - Danny Boyle and Simon Beaufoy
The Social Network - Aaron Sorkin
Toy Story 3 - Michael Arndt; story by John Lasseter, Andrew Stanton and Lee Unkrich
True Grit - Joel Coen and Ethan Coen
Winter's Bone - Debra Granik and Anne Rosellini
Who will win: Aaron Sorkin does deserve this one. Network's best part was the writing; the dialogue was biting and probably won by the opening scene alone.
Who should win: Granik and Rosellini for Bone. Those people from the backwoods of Arkansas almost had their own dialect. Incredible stuff.
Who's missing: Mark Romanek and Alex Garland for Never Let Me Go.
Animated Short
Day & Night (Walt Disney)
The Gruffalo (A Magic Light Pictures Production)
Let's Pollute (A Geefwee Goedoe Production)
The Lost Thing (Nick Batzias for Madmen Entertainment)
Madagascar, carnet de voyage (Madagascar, a Journey Diary) (A Sacrebleu Production)
Documentary Short Subject
Killing in the Name (A Moxie Firecrackers Film Production)
Poster Girl (A Portrayal Films Production)
Strangers No More (A Simon and Goodman Picture Company Production)
Sun Come Up (A Sun Come Up Production)
The Warriors of Qiugang (A Thomas Lennon Films Production)
Live Action Short Film
The Confession (National Film and Television School)
The Crush (Network Ireland Television)
God of Love (A Luke Matheny Production)
Na Wewe (Premium Films)
Wish 143 (A Swing and Shift Films/Union Pictures Production)
Original Score
How To Train Your Dragon - John Powell
Inception - Hans Zimmer
The King's Speech - Alexandre Desplat
127 Hours - A.R. Rahman
The Social Network - Trent Reznor and Atticut Ross
Original Song
"Coming Home" from Country Strong, Music and Lyrics by Tom Douglas, Troy Verges and Hillary Lindsey
"I See the Light" from Tangled, Music by Alan Menken; Lyrics by Glenn Slater
"If I Rise" from 127 Hours, Music by A.R. Rahman; Lyrics by Dido and Rollo
"We Belong Together" from Toy Story 3, Music and Lyrics by Randy Newman
Cinematography
Black Swan - Matthew Libatique
Inception - Wally Pfister
The King's Speech - Danny Cohen
The Social Network - Jeff Cronenweth
True Grit - Roger Deakins
Film Editing
Black Swan - Andrew Weisblum
The Fighter - Pamela Martin
The King's Speech - Tariq Anwar
127 Hours - Jon Harris
The Social Network - Angus wall and Kirk Baxter
Sound Editing
Inception - Richard King
Toy Story 3 - Tom Myers and Michael Silvers
Tron: Legacy - Gwendolyn Yates Whittle and Addison Teague
True Grit - Skip Lievsay and Craig Berkey
Unstoppable - Mark P. Stoeckinger
Sound Mixing
Inception - Lora Hirschberg, Gary A. Rizzo and Ed Novick
The King's Speech - Paul Hamblin, Martin Jensen and John Midgley
Salt - Jeffrey J. Haboush, Greg P. Russell, Scott Millan and William Sarokin
The Social Network - Ren Klyce, David Parker, Michael Semanick and Mark Weingarten
True Grit - Skip Lievsay, Craig Berkey, Greg Orloff and Peter F. Kurland
Makeup
Barney's Vision - Adrien Morot
The Way Back - Edouard F. Henriques, Gregory Funk and Yolanda Toussieng
The Wolfman - Rick Baker and Dave Elsey
Visual Effects
Alice in Wonderland
Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part I
Hereafter
Inception
Iron Man 2
Art Direction
Alice in Wonderland
Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part I
Inception
The King's Speech
True Grit
Costume Design
Alice in Wonderland
I Am Love
The King's Speech
The Social Network
True Grit
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